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Stoke Preview: Haven’t they done well…

Wednesday, April 7th, 2010
Celebrating Craddock's brace for a 2-2 comeback at the Britannia

Celebrating Craddock's brace for a 2-2 comeback at the Britannia

With Wolves set to go head-to-head at Molineux with Midlands rivals Stoke City on Sunday, and little else to occupy my cotton wool-filled mind, it’s worth taking a little look at our opponents.

This season Wolves have already exceeded my expectations and I hope we’ll secure the points needed to ensure survival very soon, and go on to consolidate next year. Much in the vein of Stoke, in fact, who have certainly been one of the most quietly impressive Premier League success stories of the past two years. Like them or loathe them, it’s hard to disagree that they have done jolly well (WorldWideWolfie hands out patronising virtual pats on the head to the Stoke team at this point).

Stoke finished in a good 12th place in their first Premier League season, and currently look set to improve on that, sitting as they are in 10th. They may have picked up an ugly reputation in their first season for unattractive long ball/long throw thumping, and for kicking chunks out of the opposition, but Stoke are very much on the up – although how much further they, or any club in a similar position, can progress without massive investment is a question the Premier League has still to answer.

I believe that Wolves will show themselves to be the better team on Sunday, however, in terms both of motivation and finesse and, with the home advantage (or perhaps more accurately without Stoke having the home advantage), have enough to nick the win. Stoke sit higher in the table, but Wolves have shown steady improvement, not least in confidence, throughout the season and have played and especially defended with greater conviction since Christmas.

Stoke will be visiting on the back of two victories (against bottom four teams) but Wolves will want to maintain the momentum of recent fine performances and heal a little the wounds of last week’s last minute shocker.

Mick McCarthy’s biggest selection question off the back of a run where he has managed to pick a very stable line up will be who to replace the suspended Karl Henry. I’d favour giving Milijas another go as the only change, to see if he can impress, but expect to see Guedioura, who should should produce a battling performace in the Henry mould, but with an added attacking threat.

Interestingly there is some suggestion that Tony Pulis may decide to rest top scorer Ricardo Fuller, who is sitting on nine yellow cards ahead of this weekend’s amnesty, to avoid risking a suspension.

A close call, but I’ll predict 2-1 Wolves.

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To Spend or Not to Spend

Sunday, January 10th, 2010

That is the question.

Wolves spent mainly conservatively (by Premier League standards) in the summer, sticking to a tight (by Premier League standards) wage structure. As things stand today we are out of the relegation zone, but only just. So the question is, to spend big in an attempt to ensure survival or to hope we’ve just about got enough to stay up already, accept relegation if it comes and hope we’re in a good position to bounce back?

With the mid-season transfer window having been open for over a week now, the only direction transfers have gone so far at Molineux is out. It’s good to see Collins and Ward gainfully employed elsewhere, and Shackell off our hands on loan. I thank them for their wholehearted, if variable, service to the club and wish them the best for their future.

I’m happy to offer bets that we’re not going to see any big signings coming in in their place. Perhaps a couple along the lines of Surman and Halford. Maybe someone for the future, probably someone who will do anything asked of them, probably competently, but almost certainly not someone who will change our season. I think the barrier to this is less the one-off transfer fee than the ongoing wages anyone commanding the big fees would require.

I also suspect Mick McCarthy, who places a great emphasis on endeavour and team spirit, will fear bringing in too many new faces and displacing Wolves’ willing footsoldiers. In truth, the likes of Karl Henry, Stephen Ward and Matt Jarvis, along with most of Wolves first team from last year have generally impressed in the step up to the Premiership. However, long term, as a whole Wolves don’t constitute a team with the skill or flair on top of workrate likely to compete in this league consistently. This is the team we have however, and I believe, by and large, this is the team we’ll keep for now. So the question becomes: does this give us enough to survive?

On balance I think we have enough for this season, though probably not the next. One of the reasons for this is the solid work ethic of the team well augmented by the quality particularly of Milijas and Doyle; another is the meltdown experienced by other clubs who have spent too big for too long – Portsmouth, and to a lesser extent West Ham. Wolves will have to work hard to finish below Portsmouth (fingers crossed), and I think we have enough to avoid relegation against this somewhat weakened field.

Although Wolves seem sometimes destined to be one of those nearly teams for whom being mired in the slog of the second tier is second nature, our first (consecutive) season in the Premier League does not justify the risk of mimicking Portsmouth, or Leeds before them.

The balance is fine. Wolves should not risk spending too big, especially in terms of committing future funds in large pay deals for experienced players, but to stay in this league long term will need to further break a restrictive wage structure to compete in the same market as the likes of Stoke and Birmingham, never mind Manchester United. We need some degree of Premier League stability to take the risk, but stability is going to be hard to achieve without spending to rival our competitors. Currently I think Wolves have the balance right, but we’ll need to see a bigger change if we’re still here in July. And if that means losing some old faces and who have performed well for the club then, with some regret, so be it.

Good luck to all who will have to negotiate this fine line in the next few years.

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On life at the (bottom of the) top

Monday, November 9th, 2009

After Saturday’s defeat to Arsenal, Wolves find themselves in the bottom three for the first time in a while.  A good time, if not the most optimistic, to consider the very different experience of supporting your team in the Premier League to the Championship.

It’s never easy supporting Wolves (although I’m sure many a Luton Town supporter would argue that we have it easy) but who wants to go into a game knowing it will take a miracle to win it? Quite a few, I think.  How would we choose, offered two scenarios: lose to Arsenal or Liverpool or beat Norwich or Doncaster?  Personally I’d go for the first, even if it happened every week, because every week there’s the hope of something better, rather than the far more realistic fear of something worse.  And every once in a while, that magic something actually happens, and that makes it all worthwhile.

The grounds are bigger, the stakes higher (and the players and the tickets more expensive), but what it ultimately comes down to is will you take a slapping from Arsenal now and again for the chance to win a few, to stay in the top 17 and do the same again next year?  I say yes!

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